Monday, October 1, 2012

Week 5 Recap and Week 6 Preview

Not too much to discuss about this weekend, so let’s do a rapid recap and a rapid assessment of the Top-10 (in honor of the points put up this weekend by many of the fast paced offenses).

Here’s the Autumn Wind’s week 5 Top-10 recap:

1. In the #1 and #2 spots, Alabama keeps plodding along and Oregon keeps turning it up another notch in the second half to stay atop the polls.

2. I don’t even think video game QBs could put up the numbers that Geno Smith is putting up at West Virginia, and certainly I tried back in the day while playing Super Techmo Bowl.

3. Georgia, South Carolina, Alabama, LSU, Florida, and even Mississippi State keep getting it done, and so it starts; let’s look at the schedule in the SEC over the next five weeks: Georgia @ South Carolina, LSU @ Florida, South Carolina @ LSU, South Carolina @ Florida, LSU @ Texas A&M, Mississippi State @ Alabama; Florida v. Georgia, and then Alabama @ LSU. If anyone of those teams makes is through that gauntlet undefeated, just hand them the title.

4. Is it funny that the Big 10’s best team is sanctioned and under probation?

5. I was wrong when I said a couple weeks ago that UofSuck would start off 3-0 and finish 4-5. That’s looking more like finishing 2-7. Love it.

6. I keep saying that Taylor Martinez would win the Heisman if Nebraska played in the Sun Belt Conference. It’s a good thing Wisconsin is playing like a SunBelt conference team. Regardless, big come from behind win for the Huskers versus the Badgers.

7. We’re starting to see lots of parity in college football, comparing the top of the polls to the bottom. Case in point: #19 Louisville. Their quality wins are a three point win over 0-4 Southern Miss and a seven point win over 1-3 Florida International.

8. The announcers on the ESPN Friday night game like to talk about how their games should be watched because it always seems to come down to the final possession. This week? BYU 47 Hawaii 0. Crickets.

9. I had Cincy beating Va. Tech, but since no one cares about Cincy or Va. Tech, I didn’t bother to even write that down. Oops.

10. Arizona State is sitting atop the PAC-12 South, yet isn’t ranked; despite their only loss coming on the road against Missouri (a game the Devil’s should’ve won). We still don’t know exactly what kind of team ASU has, but we’ll know soon. A week off, then a Thursday game against Division II Colorado (well, they should be Division II), then v. Oregon (on another Thursday night game, and one that I’m close to putting out an upset alert for), v. UCLA, @ Oregon State, and @ USC. Okay, maybe that’s why the Devil’s aren’t ranked (not that I actually think the voters look ahead more than a week; let alone watch any PAC-12 games).

Now on to the Top-10 in the standings:

Top-10:

#1 Alabama (5-0) – We haven’t done one of these in awhile: The Tide keep rolling…

#2 Oregon (5-0) – …but so do the Ducks…

#3 LSU (5-0) – …while the Tigers are dropping behind FSU in many people’s polls...

#4 Florida State (5-0) – …even though FSU hasn’t played anyone…

#5 West Virginia (4-0) – …and we all know now the Big 12 runs through Morgantown...

#6 Georgia (5-0) – ...because with the upcoming schedule, SEC teams are gonna start falling like embassies in the Arab world...

#7 Kansas State (4-0) – …which is good for the Big 12 (SEC teams losing, not embassies falling)…

#8 South Carolina (5-0) – …unless someone in the SEC squeaks through unscathed…

#9 Texas (4-0) – …’cuz I don’t think anyone in the Big 12 will because of teams like Texas and OU hanging around…

#10 Notre Dame (4-0) – …so, cheer cheer, cheer cheer for ole Notre Dame!!!

Rising Fast:

Washington – After barely beating SDSU to open the season, and getting shellacked by LSU, the Huskies beat Portland State and overrated Stanford (whom I haven’t had in my Top-10 at all) at home to somehow get into the Top-25. Good luck @ Oregon, v. USC, @ Arizona, and v. Oregon State the next four weeks.

Falling Faster:

Auburn/Arkansas – A combined 2-7, and 0-4 in the SEC. Ouch. Maybe the SEC is glad they grabbed Mizzou and Texas A&M?

Heisman Watch:

Geno Smith, West Virginia – Yes, Baylor’s defense sucks, but when you throw for 656 yards and 8 TDs (with only six incompletions) and you still don’t have an INT on the year; you’re in the driver’s seat for the Heisman.

BCS Title Game Prediction:

Alabama v. Oregon – Plain ol’ crimson and white uniforms that haven’t changed since time immemorial versus chartreuse and black uniforms that change by drive it seems. Kinda representative of the teams’ styles, don’t ya think?

Week 6 Big Games:

Washington @ Oregon – I only have this game listed because at the time it’s a Top-25 match-up. Enjoy your one week in the polls Washington. Oregon 58 Washington 24

LSU @ Florida – Has LSU been sandbagging the last couple of weeks? Is Florida’s defense really that good? Yes, and yes. This will be an ugly game in the swamp, but I still gotta think LSU has a chip on their shoulder after starting the year #1 in the AP and dropping down to #4 without losing. LSU 24 Florida 20

West Virginia @ Texas – Eventually, WVU is going to run into a team that has both a good enough offense to put up points, but also a good enough defense to sorta slow down Geno and company (Geno Smith that is; not uncle Geno). Texas has the offense, but not the defense. Also, keep in mind that Texas just beat Oklahoma State on the road in an emotional game, and next weekend has the annual Red River Shootout with OU. That spells trap game. West Virginia 51 Texas 34

Notre Dame v. Miami – Miami’s high powered passing game will test Notre Dame’s secondary, but Miami’s defense is pretty bad – 100th in the nation in scoring defense; and that’s against teams like Boston College, North Carolina State, and Georgia Tech. Hell, Bethune-Cookman managed 10 against them. And, Notre Dame had an extra week to prepare for this one under the lights at Soldier Field, a near home game for the Irish. Notre Dame 31 Miami 27

Nebraska @ Ohio State – Nebraska proved it could win a Big 10 game in come from behind fashion, but it was at home and it was against Wisconsin. The Blackshirts allowed 27 points to a team that scored 10 against Oregon State and 16 against Utah State. Meanwhile, the cheaters at The Ohio State keep rolling along. Huskers lose in the Horseshoe: 34 to 24

Week 6 Game of the Week:

Georgia @ South Carolina – Everything here favors the home team (including the Vegas point spread). South Carolina has the better defense (6th in the nation, giving up just over 11/game); the better running game; a two game winning streak against the Bulldogs; and Game Day is making the journey to Columbia, SC. The last time Corso and company were it town? When South Carolina upset then #1 Alabama in 2010. Also, keep in mind what Marcus Lattimore has done the last two times against Georgia: 182 yards and a 176 yards on a boat load of carries. That’ll be enough for the home team to prevail: South Carolina 28 Georgia 24.



Until next time…

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